ElDemocrata

España en español es para cualquier persona que viva en España, visite España o cualquier persona interesada en las últimas noticias, eventos y deportes en España. Descubra más ahora.

Mercados emergentes: el real brasileño aumenta un 2% por las perspectivas de crecimiento y la subida de las tasas de interés en Chile

    * Latam FX rise as dollar slip after Powell stays dovish 
    * Brazil's real jumps 1.9%
    * Chile's peso up, 25 bps hike expected
    * America Movil jumps as Q2 profit more than doubles 

 (Updates prices, adds reaction after Powell's speech)
    By Ambar Warrick and Susan Mathew
    July 14 (Reuters) - Brazil's real shot up 2% on Wednesday
after a significant upgrade to the country's economic growth
forecast, while Chile's peso rose as investors penciled in a
possible rate hike by the central bank later in the day.
    Most other Latin American currencies also rallied strongly
as the dollar slumped after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell held his dovish stance, alleviating fears that rising
inflation could see the Fed bring forward policy tightening.

    The real last traded at 5.077 to the dollar.
    Brazil's economy ministry said the country's GDP was
expected to grow 5.3% in 2021, far more than a previous forecast
of 3.5%. It added that the country hoped to raise 100 billion
reais ($19.64 billion) with a much-awaited income tax reform
proposal.
    The new forecast supports market expectations of improving
growth in Latin America's largest economy, which have also
helped the real weather political noise from a growing
corruption scandal.
    Chile's peso added 0.4%, with investors expecting a
25 basis point rate hike by the bank to 0.75%, given some
hawkish commentary from the minutes of the bank's last meeting.
    With inflation also on the rise, many expect the bank to
step in and curb any further price pressures. Increasing
economic growth expectations for the country have also reduced
the need for overly accommodative policy.    
    Tighter policy has become a common trend across emerging
markets this year, with inflation picking up on reopening
momentum. 
    But for EM bonds, Tina Vandersteel, head of emerging country
debt at GMO, sees rising inflation as an overall "benign" risk
given hawkish central banks. She sees Mexico, Turkey, and South
Africa as holding opportunity in sovereign debt.

    Mexico's peso added 1%, while Colombia's peso
rose 0.8%, despite tumbling oil prices.
    Mexico's peso was recovering from steep losses triggered by
fears of government interference in the country's energy sector.
The country also recorded its biggest increase in new COVID-19
infections since February.
    "In the medium to longer term, we see MXN appreciation
potential limited by the fragile economy and subdued growth
prospects due to a lack of investment," said Elisabeth Andreae,
FX and EM analyst at Commerzbank. 
    Mexican stocks gained on the day, with 
telecommunications giant America Movil jumping 6%
after its said its second quarter net profit more than doubled.
 
    Colombia will seek to raise nearly $4 billion through a new
tax reform measure to be proposed to Congress, Finance Minister
Jose Manuel Restrepo said on Tuesday.
    
    Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
   Stock indexes           Latest    Daily %
                                     change
 MSCI Emerging Markets      1339.33    -0.01
                                     
 MSCI LatAm                 2604.50     1.41
                                     
 Brazil Bovespa           128315.80     0.12
                                     
 Mexico IPC                49440.44     0.34
                                     
 Chile IPSA                 4158.69    -0.95
                                     
 Argentina MerVal          64149.35    -0.35
                                     
 Colombia COLCAP            1285.43    -0.64
                                     
                                            
      Currencies           Latest    Daily %
                                     change
 Brazil real                 5.0771     2.04
                                     
 Mexico peso                19.8651     0.95
                                     
 Chile peso                   746.9     0.33
                                     
 Colombia peso                 3790     0.77
                                     
 Peru sol                    3.9543     0.55
                                     
 Argentina peso             96.1500    -0.02
 (interbank)                         
                                     
 
    
 (Reporting by Ambar Warrick
Editing by Marguerita Choy)
  
READ  Mercados emergentes: el real brasileño ha disminuido a medida que aumenta el desempleo, que será el mejor mes de 2021